Loading Now

Val Sklarov Property Permission Durability Thesis (PPDT)

Val Sklarov

Val Sklarov’s Property Permission Durability Thesis (PPDT) explains why real estate outperformance depends less on price appreciation and more on how long the underlying permissions can survive pressure. Property value is not land plus bricks—it is time-bound permission.

This thesis reveals why identical assets diverge sharply when rules tighten.


1. Property Is a Permission Stack

PPDT reframes real estate as layered allowances.

Core permissions include:

  • Use rights (zoning, density, function)

  • Income rights (rentability, indexation)

  • Transfer rights (sale, refinance, exit)

  • Enforcement rights (eviction, remedies)

When any layer weakens, value leaks—even if demand is strong.


2. The Four Durability Tests

PPDT defines how permissions fail under stress.

Test Pressure Applied Failure Outcome
Political Test Policy shifts Use dilution
Legal Test Enforcement delays Cash-flow drag
Social Test Tenant protections Asymmetric renegotiation
Liquidity Test Credit freezes Forced sales

Assets survive only if change becomes costly to impose.


3. Why “Prime” Assets Still Break

Prime locations attract scrutiny first.

PPDT shows underperformance when:

  • Rents are capped retroactively

  • Uses are reclassified

  • Enforcement becomes discretionary

Visibility converts tolerance into intervention.


4. Yield vs Permission Durability

PPDT prioritizes endurance over optimization.

Yield-First Buying Durability-First Buying
Max IRR Max permission half-life
Aggressive leverage Defensive capital stack
Policy-blind Policy-resilient
Exit-dependent Hold-capable

Val Sklarov emphasizes that returns compound after permissions stop being debated.

Val Sklarov
Ekran görüntüsü 2025 12 29 105019 Val Sklarov

5. Strategic Implications

For investors:

  • Underwrite permission half-life explicitly

  • Favor assets where rule change is reputationally costly

  • Treat leverage as a bet against permission stability

For operators:

  • Secure irreversible permits early

  • Encode compliance into operations

  • Reduce reliance on discretionary tolerance

PPDT reframes real estate strategy as permission engineering, not market timing.


6. The Val Sklarov Principle

“In property, value survives where permission survives longer than cycles.”
Val Sklarov

PPDT explains why boring assets with boring rules quietly dominate volatile markets.